According to @charliebilello, the S&P 500 has posted positive returns during the last six U.S. government shutdowns, and the index rose 0.4% in the prior session to a new all-time high; source: Charlie Bilello on X, Oct 2, 2025, and bilello.blog/newsletter. For traders, this pattern of SPX resilience during shutdowns aligns with elevated stock‑crypto correlations observed since 2020, informing cross-asset risk positioning; source: IMF Global Financial Stability Note, Crypto Prices Move More in Sync With Stocks, January 2022. Monitoring SPX trend alongside BTC and ETH is warranted given IMF-documented increases in shock transmission between equities and crypto markets; source: IMF 2022 and Charlie Bilello on X, Oct 2, 2025.

According to the source, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission states in its Operations Plan Under a Lapse in Appropriations that during a government shutdown it will suspend most normal operations, including the review and approval of registrations, applications, and exchange rule filings (SEC.gov). The SEC plan further notes that while systems like EDGAR can continue to accept submissions, staff reviews and actions on pending matters are largely paused, implying decisions on crypto-related exchange-traded products will not be issued until funding is restored (SEC.gov). Historically, shutdowns delay federal agency actions on pending approvals, reinforcing the expectation of slippage in altcoin ETF timelines during a lapse in appropriations (Congressional Research Service, crsreports.congress.gov).

According to @ReutersBiz, Wall Street’s main stock indexes rose as the healthcare sector provided strong support, source: Reuters Business. @ReutersBiz reported that investors looked past weaker-than-expected private payrolls data, source: Reuters Business. @ReutersBiz added that uncertainty around the first day of a U.S. federal government shutdown did not prevent gains; no direct crypto market impact was cited in the update, source: Reuters Business.

According to @CNBC, U.S. stock index futures were little changed in premarket trading as investors looked past a potential government shutdown, with live updates noting a muted tone heading into the open. Source: CNBC. CNBC is providing live updates on the session. Source: CNBC.

According to @MilkRoadDaily, a new episode with @TrajanKing lays out eight time-stamped market catalysts for traders: U.S. government shutdown mechanics (02:20), the impact of a macro data blackout on potential Fed rate cuts (09:00), why BTC is lagging (16:20), updates on Nexo (23:08) and Figure Markets (23:42), what’s coming in 2026 (24:17), prepping for black swans (26:10), and a Bitcoin and crypto thesis to 2030 (32:20), source: @MilkRoadDaily. According to @MilkRoadDaily, the discussion frames a bullish long-term crypto outlook alongside U.S. debt spiral concerns, emphasizing risk management and positioning into the 2026–2030 horizon, source: @MilkRoadDaily. According to @MilkRoadDaily, the post provides actionable timestamps so traders can quickly review macro catalysts and align BTC and broader crypto exposure with the highlighted themes, source: @MilkRoadDaily.

According to @KobeissiLetter, the S&P 500 crossed above 6,700 for the first time in history less than 24 hours after the U.S. government shutdown began (source: @KobeissiLetter). The source states that the average 12-month return after a shutdown ends is +13% (source: @KobeissiLetter). Based on the source’s stated levels, a move from 6,700 to the cited ~7,600 12-month marker implies roughly +13.4% upside, consistent with the historical average noted (source: @KobeissiLetter). Crypto traders can monitor this equity benchmark and the 7,600 reference cited by the source as a cross-asset risk gauge when planning positioning and hedges (source: @KobeissiLetter).

According to @ReutersBiz, some investors have shifted into gold and money market accounts amid potential US government shutdown risk, signaling a flight to safety, source: @ReutersBiz. In the same clip, Robert Conzo of The Wealth Alliance says he views a possible shutdown as a buying opportunity for equity investors, pointing to a buy-the-dip stance in stocks, source: @ReutersBiz. The source provides no specific commentary on cryptocurrencies, so no direct crypto market impact is outlined, source: @ReutersBiz.

According to @StockMKTNewz, Jim Cramer said on CNBC that a U.S. government shutdown is unlikely to have a big impact on the stock market, source: @StockMKTNewz on X citing CNBC.

According to the source, a U.S. federal shutdown would force the Bureau of Labor Statistics to postpone the Employment Situation (nonfarm payrolls) release because BLS suspends data collection and publication during a lapse in appropriations, which is outlined in the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics contingency plan. According to the Federal Reserve’s FOMC statement, labor market conditions are a key input to data‑dependent policy, and traders recalibrate rate‑cut odds after the jobs report using fed funds futures, as described by CME Group’s FedWatch methodology. According to the Cboe Options Institute, uncertainty around the timing of major macro releases tends to lift implied volatility, and crypto has become sensitive to U.S. macro conditions, according to IMF research showing stronger co-movement with broader risk assets.